+EV Score

Park & luck adjusted regression

Statcast-driven HR prediction engine that finds undervalued hitters before the sportsbooks adjust.

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Features
21
Data sources
5
Refresh
15m
ML engine
XGBoost
Regression detection
Spots hitters whose xISO and xwOBACON gaps signal incoming positive regression — the core edge before books catch on.
Context-adjusted scoring
Park factors, game-time weather, pitcher vulnerability, platoon advantage, and batting order all feed the composite score.
Self-learning weights
XGBoost retrains weekly on predictions vs outcomes. The model gets sharper as data accumulates — your edge compounds.